Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.961434 2.246488 2.559906 2.930316 3.356456 3.831754 4.402660
2025-08-10 1.505035 1.865018 2.293861 2.843318 3.530069 4.361989 5.449211
2025-08-17 1.169219 1.548350 2.031659 2.694902 3.584665 4.741661 6.367951
2025-08-24 0.968111 1.358669 1.886989 2.657178 3.757134 5.280338 7.565191
2025-08-31 0.814064 1.202575 1.756454 2.608459 3.895096 5.780029 8.777744
2025-09-07 0.735325 1.138260 1.740928 2.714802 4.262983 6.652147 10.663517
2025-09-14 0.655087 1.057747 1.686676 2.749427 4.519690 7.384309 12.438930
2025-09-21 0.576411 0.967100 1.601889 2.719226 4.661786 7.945234 14.010410
2025-09-28 0.499506 0.867938 1.488555 2.622614 4.673361 8.281766 15.235655
2025-10-05 0.472326 0.849274 1.507040 2.753938 5.097671 9.388180 18.010356
2025-10-12 0.447009 0.830049 1.521043 2.877172 5.521341 10.547259 21.058422
2025-10-19 0.420598 0.805038 1.520635 2.971854 5.901324 11.671786 24.207283
2025-10-26 0.387302 0.764533 1.489491 3.009775 6.189633 12.686879 27.363875
2025-11-02 0.344239 0.699474 1.402944 2.925421 6.218398 13.183763 29.512420
2025-11-09 0.300240 0.626851 1.292104 2.775235 6.086098 13.322148 30.891750
2025-11-16 0.272449 0.584348 1.237648 2.737798 6.193881 13.998313 33.626820
2025-11-23 0.246950 0.543467 1.181393 2.688336 6.266843 14.606138 36.304829
2025-11-30 0.236866 0.535151 1.194673 2.798506 6.727326 16.184135 41.667813
2025-12-07 0.222113 0.514367 1.177396 2.834490 7.014743 17.389766 46.292879
2025-12-14 0.204292 0.484214 1.134840 2.803461 7.131244 18.188528 49.979807
2025-12-21 0.184064 0.445856 1.068308 2.703827 7.057872 18.490291 52.353873
2025-12-28 0.179579 0.445316 1.092830 2.839407 7.622500 20.559606 60.143069
2026-01-04 0.174695 0.443160 1.113055 2.966629 8.184383 22.711224 68.589696